2008年11月28日星期五

Mumbai Attack - 印度的恐怖分子是谁?

孟买的恐怖分子是谁?


目前在印度积极活动的恐怖组织达176个,比较激进

和具有恐怖色彩的有以下4类:第一类是“锡克宗教委

员会”、“卡利斯坦突击队”、“全印锡克学生联合会”

和“锡克宗教委员会”等;第二类是印度教徒和伊斯兰

教徒围绕克什米尔争端而成立的如“查谟和克什米尔

解放阵线”等;第三是以少数民族为主体的极端组织,

如“阿萨姆联合解放阵线”、“博多保安军”、“特里普

拉民族解放阵线”和“全特里普拉猛虎军”等;第四类

是反政府的极左组织,如“人民游击军”和“人民战争

集团”等。


但是印度的外交部长说:孟买恐怖袭击事件与巴基斯

坦恐怖分子有关。巴基斯坦的政府从来回答:全地区

的恐怖分子是从阿富汗来得。


2008年9月28日:巴基斯坦


2008年7月6日:巴基斯坦




This morning, further hostages have been freed by special forces from occupied Trident Hotel in Mumbai. [NHK TV, Tokyo, November 28]

2008年11月18日星期二

CUBA - China Breaking the Blockade
古巴—中国突破封锁




胡锦涛主席探望古共中央第一书记菲德尔·卡斯特罗。

胡锦涛出席了金融市场和世界经济峰会、亚太经会组织

会议并访问古巴。


November 18: Chinese leaders sign a trade deal with Cuba.

Chinese President Hu Jintao on a two-day official visit to Cuba. In the same aircraft that brought the Chinese president and China's trade minister Chen Deming, humanitarian cargo for the victims of recent hurricanes was delivered. [Radio Habana / People's Daily online]

There are two aspects making the visit of high-ranking Chinese leaders to Cuba a profitable enterprise for China :

1) The sentimental value of Hu Jintao and Fidel Castro deliberating on the good old days of a Cuban-Chinese friendship that is dating back to Mao Tsedong and Deng Xiaoping, and that is coming together with badly needed humanitarian aid. A sentimental value that pays in terms of an increasing prestige for China.

2) The economic value of a trade deal that enables China to exploit Cuban sugarcane and nickel, both commodities belonging to the few material values Cuba has to offer. An economic value that has to be seen before the background of an outdated U.S. embargo and at a time of "interregnum" when a new and more liberal U.S. president elect is forced to wait for his official inauguration and for the very first opportunity to do his job.

Nevertheless, this is a win-win situation for both, Cuba and China. One partner is gaining political and economic influence, while the other is being helped to survive the hardships of recent natural disasters and a (steadily crumbling) political discrimination. Its the U.S. that is losing this match !


Further information on an international community opposing the economic blockade of Cuba can be found in my blog post: Obama and Change that is Needed

UPDATE November 21: Report by U.S. intelligence agencies projecting U.S. decline and global unrest [Al-Jazeera]

2008年11月16日星期日

NORTH KOREA - A Zombie's Life 死人的活动

On October 11, 2008, North Korean TV published a set of ten images that should prove Kim Jong Il being alive. All images show the North Korean leader while visiting troops. It should be his first public appearance after August 14,2008. [Source 环球日报]


朝鲜中央电视台播放金正日视察朝鲜女子炮兵部队的照片

Kim Jong Il visiting a unit of female artillery soldiers on October 11, 2008. Could it be that the North Korean leader has received a severe burn ?


Since October 3, 2007, when the South Korean president met with his counterpart, we didn't receive any reliable image of Kim Jong Il at all.


Finally, on November 6, 2008, the North Korean "Worker's News" / 劳动新闻 published a report on Kim Jong Il visiting the military units 534 (above) and 2200 (below). [Source人民网/新华网]


We can therefore suppose that "Zombie" Kim Jong Il is still alive and might have recovered from a kind of "disease" that goes without any further comment.

When it comes to analyze North Korea's desolate situation with all its aspects, two points should be considered:
1. The days of the North Korean leadership are obviously counted, and whatever might happen to that country, it will happen very soon.
2. As it is difficult to imagine any essential change coming from the inside, Chinese and South Korean support will be needed to ensure the country's transformation into a modern state, fully accepted by the international community.

2008年11月6日星期四

2008年10月22日星期三

Indian Moonraker Joining the Space Race


الهند تطلق مركبة فضائية نحو القمر


India joins the space race with its first moon mission. There will be further launches to prepare a moon landing in 2011.

An Indian scientist from Delhi University stresses the importance of that project in the frame of its economic aspects, namely when it comes to the subject of future energy resources. Thus, the 80 million U.S.$ spent for the actual mission could turn out to be a profitable investment. [Al-Jazeera, English programme]. The Arabic programme of Al-Jazeera is also dedicated to that subject:
"Behind the News"

ماوراء الخبر



Destination Moon - 登上月球
According to Beijing's People's Daily online, the Indian space project is putting pressure on China's own project of a moon landing within the next years. Here's a shortcut of the Chinese article:
After a journey of ten days the Indian spaceship "Chandrayaan-I" is expected to launch an experimental module to the moon's surface. As that module is containing an Indian flag, India would become the fourth nation to plant its flag on the moon, following the United States, Russia and Japan. Kapil Sibal, India's minister for science and technology, called this "a moment of national pride" while the chairman of India's space research organisation, K. Kasturirangan, defended the cost of 80 million U.S.$ involved by that mission.

2008年9月25日星期四

China Launched Manned Spaceship

“神七”飞船发射圆满成功
……胡锦涛发表讲话祝贺

China's spaceship Shenzhou 7 has been successfully launched at 21:10 local time. President Hu Jin Tao expressed his congratulations.

The spaceship is manned with a crew of three astronauts whose journey to space should last 100 hours. Its actual altitude at 18:51 CET is 262,5 km.

The day before, Al-Jazeera already reported about the preparations of that mission that is intended to be the first step on China's way to the moon.


It is reported that Chinese astronauts used to be treated with Chinese herbal medicine before and after their mission with Shenzhou 5 and Shenzhou 6. Such, it can be predicted that Shenzhou 7 astronauts have been treated equally to avoid one of them falling ill.
By the way, when it comes to name Chinese astronauts in the Western media, they are often called "taikonauts", an expression related to the word "tai kong yuan 太空员" that is used in the Chinese language for "astronaut".


The vice-director of China's institute for rocket research, Lu Yu, in an interview with People's Daily online.




UPDATE (September 27, 2008): First Chinese Spacewalk





2008年8月27日星期三

Welcome to World War III欢迎在第三次世界大战

NEWS ALERT => November 21, 2008
- U.S. intelligence predicts global unrest -
=> for more information look further down !


最新

人民网的文件—2008年11月11日
格鲁吉亚抗议南奥塞梯士兵越境
有村民已经逃离


1)美军的化装突击队在格鲁西亚打开了冲突吗?
2)俄罗斯海军与美国海军集中兵力在黑海里,北大西洋公约组织的十架舰只在武器试验,俄罗斯的军队集中兵力在伏尔加河地区。—人民网的文件—2008年09月01日
3)俄罗斯总理的第五纵队在北约组织的德国:过去的《德意志民主共和国》的旧情报人员。

人民网的文件—2008年09月03日
“新冷战”已经来临了吗?

文件对“冷战”说的是“…因为冷战对双方均无好处,而且违背全世界人民的意愿,也为国际社会所唾弃”。但是“热战”可以开始很快!(Ulysses / W.W.)

人民网的文件—2008年09月08日
俄黑海舰队觅新家 进驻阿布哈兹回击北约


Its not unexpected that manifold NATO interests and Russian fears that Central Asia might be dominated by the U.S. and their allies are now facing each other in a most dangerous confrontation. Teasing the Russians by offering Georgia a NATO membership is one of the most offending diplomatic actions the West could take under the eyes of the Russian bear. Furthermore, its a stupid action as Georgia seems to be a fickle candidate who is expected to bring rather instability to the alliance, due to the personal disposition of its president, and whose military power is, as well, very much restricted.
If its for oil then one thing should be clear, once and for all: A growing military and economic power like Russia has to secure its own sources of oil and other natural resources and will never allow foreign nations to "invade its privacy". Such, the German chancellor's insisting on Georgia's future status as a NATO ally is not only an offence of Russian interests but a stupid remark that would rather disqualify Germany as a mature global player.


Another fact will underline this rigid position that seems to Russia of a vital importance: Russia's attitude towards Iran. While the U.S. and their European allies are blaming the Iranian leaders for developing nuclear weapons, an assumption that has never been proven up to now, Russia is steadily delivering highly sophisticated arms to Iran, adding to what this country's advanced armament industry is already able to supply.
Such, Iran is now able to defend itself and confront even Israel, once the only "superpower" in the Middle East. Any attack on Iran under the pretext of its nuclear program will therefore undoubtedly trigger off an Iranian response that could change the whole political landscape of the region. The fall of Israel, seen by most Arabs as a dirty mark on the map of the Middle East, could be in reach if there were not Israel's own nuclear capacities, silently accepted by all those nations who are now blaming Iran.
According to an article, published in 2003 by the British paper THE GUARDIAN / THE OBSERVER, "Israeli and American officials have admitted collaborating to deploy US-supplied Harpoon cruise missiles armed with nuclear warheads in Israel's fleet of Dolphin-class submarines, giving the Middle East's only nuclear power the ability to strike at any of its Arab neighbours." ... "Although it has been long suspected that Israel bought three German diesel-electric submarines ... [editor's comment: state-of-the-art submarines provided by Howaldswerke - Deutsche Werft AG, Kiel] ... with the specific aim of arming them with nuclear cruise missiles, the admission that the two countries had collaborated in arming the fleet with a nuclear-capable weapons system is significant at a time of growing crisis between Israel and its neighbours."


The Iranian president Mahmud Ahmadi Nejad
seeing Russian president Dmitry Medvedev:
Nejad has every reason to smile (Al-Jazeera)

Now, if it comes to war with Iran, what will the Russian position be? Will they stand aside and wait for a pro-Western state to be erected in the neighbourhood of their area of influence and where lots and lots of oil and natural gas are coming from. Or will they stand by their Iranian partners and risk to trigger off a war the world has never seen before ? I guess you can give yourself the answer to that question.


After the Russian recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states: Russian marines move to strategic points in the disputed area as a "precaution against the U.S.", while a U.S. navy ship, the destroyer USS McFaul, has cancelled its visit to Poti, important harbour of Georgia, in order to avoid conflict with Russian military.




UPDATE 29/08/2008 NEWS ALERT

北约战舰云集黑海 俄军亮出“航母杀手”

U.S. navy and Russian fleet
gathering in the Black Sea


Yesterday, the editor for military affairs of PEOPLE'S DAILY, online edition, Beijing, presented an overall article on military proceedings in the Black Sea. In that article several isolated news have been summmarized:

On August 25,in the middle of the Georgian crisis, the Russian cruiser "Moscow" headed for the Black Sea in order to "perform a weaponry test" of its guided missiles.


cruiser Moscow

Russian news agency report: Gathering of NATO ships in the Black Sea, including two U.S. war ships and four ships of the Turkish navy and equipped with more than 100 "Tomahawk" cruise missiles.

Pentagon declares: U.S. destroyer "McFaul" reached Georgian coast on August 24 in order to deliver "humanitarian aid".

According to a NATO official, the gathering of war ships in the Black Sea is expected to perform a manoeuvre and "not related to the actual conflict between Russia and Georgia". "But Russia finds fault in it and estimates, both, the manoeuvre and the supply of humanitarian aid, as a pretence for the display of military power."

Xin Hua agency report: Earlier this month, the "Moscow" already entered the Black Sea as the flagship of its combat group. It is equipped with SS-N-12 anti-ship missiles.

Translation from Chinese language article by "Ulysses"
Wolfgang Wiesner, editor of BLUEPRINT magazine


U.S. behind Georgian conflict ?
- News, views and interviews -

Here's a series of brandnew videos to that subject

END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 02/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

* Georgia breaks off diplomatic relations with Russia.

* Russia declares having withdrawn all of its troops
from South Ossetia until the day before.

END OF UPDATE


Background and Development
of so-called Caucasus Conflict

Source: Reuters AlertNet (August 24, 2008):

* The Russia-Georgia conflict broke out on Aug. 7-8 when Georgian troops tried to retake South Ossetia during the Olympic Games in Beijing. A Russian counter-offensive pushed into Georgia proper, crossing its main east-west highway and nearing an oil pipeline from Azerbaijan.

* Russian soldiers man checkpoint at key Georgian port Poti, outside a security zone that is officially kept under control of Russian peacekeepers and hundreds of kilometers away from South Ossetia.

* U.S. warship "McFaul" delivers aid to Georgian port Batumi. Original destination port of Poti has been given up because of Russian presence there.

* Blast hits Georgia's main east-west railway, vital to the economy of the country. Oil cargoes are being held up.

* Ukraine's President Viktor Yushchenko says his country - home to a large ethnic Russian population - must boost its defences and speed up its efforts to join NATO.

* Efforts of Georgia and Ukraine to join NATO are opposed by Russia which sees the ex-Soviet republics as part of its legitimate sphere of influence.

* France calls for EU meeting on crisis.



UPDATE 07/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

Dangerous Encounter

* Another U.S. warship carrying "humanitarian aid" is being unloaded in Poti, Georgian harbour still held by Russian "peacekeeping forces". Russia says they are delivering weapons not aid.

* Russian president Medvedev condemns gathering of NATO warships in the Black Sea. According to an earlier Chinese report (September 1), NATO fleet in the Black Sea has been increased to 10 warships.


* Another Chinese report (September 1) says, Russian troops are being deployed in the nearby Volga / Ural river region, north of the Caspian Sea, for manoeuvre.



Al-Jazeera citing an earlier remark made by Paul Wolfowitz, once deputy secretary of state under Donald Rumsfeld.

END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 09/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

* According to an official, Russia is going to establish diplomatic relations with Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
La Russie va établir des relations diplomatiques avec l'Ossétie du Sud et l'Abkhazie (officiel russe)(BFM TV, France).

* Russia will terminate any cooperation with NATO organisation, if Georgia's access to the Western alliance "enters a practical stage".
La Russie cessera toute coopération avec l'OTAN si la Géorgie accède au Plan d'action en vue de l'adhésion (BFM TV, France).

* Yesterday, Washington cancelled an examination by the U.S. Congress of an agreement with Russia on the civil use of nuclear energy.
Washington a annulé hier l'examen par le Congrès d'un accord sur le nucléaire civil avec la Russie (BFM TV, France).

* Russia declares its intention to abandon its "checkpoints" in (the Georgian) seaport of Poti during next week (Al-Jazeera, Arabic program, Qatar).
روسيا تعلن أنها ستفكك نقاط التفتيش في ميناء بوتي خلال أسبوع

* Georgia accepts responsibility for the non-application of force against South Ossetia and Abkhazia (Al-Jazeera, Arabic program, Qatar).
جورجيا تتعهد بعدم استخدام القوة ضد أوسيتيا الجنوبية و أبخازيا

* After the recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states, the flagships of the Russian Black Sea fleet are now stationed in Abkhazia in order to fight back NATO military if necessary. That regional fleet, recently based in Abkhazia's naval base of Soukhoumi, comprises 62 vessels and 52 aircraft, manned with 22.000 Russian marines (人民网).


aircraft carrier Kusnezoff


Abkhazia - port of Soukhoumi

Latest news of the day:
Russia says it will keep 7.500 troops in the breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia (Al-Jazeera, English program)

END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 17/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

Facing growing tensions with NATO, Russia has expanded its 2009 defense budget by 27%. The projected NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia is upsetting Moscow. While breakaway tendencies of former ally Ukraine have temporarily been stopped by political tensions within the ruling coalition, Georgia's plans remain unchanged.


As the economic background of two adversary parties often decides between peace and war, here an interesting link describing the actual state of the U.S. financial market.

END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 19/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

U.S. secretary of state Condoleeza Rice warns Russia from pursuing its actual choices that might lead Moscow on a "one-way path to self-imposed isolation and irrelevance".

In addition to the Georgia conflict where U.S. and Russian warships are already close to each other, the Russian donation of some aged bombers to Venezuela might be hinting at further Russian plans to oppose the U.S. at very sensible points of North American interest.



END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 23/09/2008 NEWS ALERT

Géorgie:
L'Union européenne devrait déployer "un peu plus de 300" observateurs en Géorgie au lieu de 200. [BFM TV / France]

French sources indicate: The European Union might send "something more than 300" observers to Georgia instead of 200 previously planned.

END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 12/11/2008 NEWS ALERT

The European Union and Russia

[Summary of news from Al-Jazeera TV, international edition / November 12, and from People's Daily online, Chinese edition / November 11]

The European Union EU decided on Monday to resume partnership talks with Russia. Lithuania opposes the EU decision and states that Russia hasn't fulfilled the ceasefire deal with Georgia. In fact, Russia has recognised Georgia's former provinces South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states and maintains several thousands of troops in both regions. People's Daily reported that Georgia launched a protest against South Ossetia for having invaded the frontier region of Georgia with some 80 soldiers on November 8. A Georgian settlement with 1000 inhabitants has been overrun. Peasants are reported to flee from that area.

Russia has called for a new European security umbrella and threatened to deploy short range missiles in Kaliningrad. The Russian seaport of Kaliningrad is an enclave between Poland and Lithuania. As was earlier reported, the U.S. have installed a missile battery in Poland that should be able to intercept long-range missiles from Iran, this military measure being strongly opposed by the Russian government.

Nevertheless, EU has to come to terms with Russia as Europe depends on Russia for much of its energy. Russia has the world's largest known natural gas reserves. Earlier this year, Russia already cut gas supplies to Ukraine over a debt debate.

Furthermore, Russia's huge cash reserves could help Europe's ailing economies.

Russia, country of 140 M people, is still a significant global power and an important trade partner for Europe. Therefore, EU wants to narrow differences before next G-20 summit in the United States.


END OF UPDATE


UPDATE 21/11/2008 NEWS ALERT

Intelligence Agencies:
U.S. Decline and Global Unrest

A new report published by the U.S. National Intelligence Community (NIC) predicts U.S. decline and global unrest:
- U.S. influence is on the decline.
- U.S. dollar will decline over the next two decades.
- U.S. will share "world power" status with China and India by 2025.
- Global trends forecasting a tense, unstable world that is shadowed by war.
- Some European nations could be taken over by organised crime.
[Source: Al-Jazeera]


END OF UPDATE

2008年8月17日星期日

伊朗的最新火箭和新型战头机


=> => => 看近况在下! <= <= <=



إيران تطلق بنجاح صاروخا يمكنه حمل قمر اصطناعي
الصاروخ الجديد الإيراني



طائرة قاصفة جديدة


昨天伊朗成功发射了携带“希望”号卫星的“使者”号火箭。另外伊朗空军装备新型战斗机飞行三千公里不需加油。

UPDATE 22-24/08/2008:

伊朗称将在10年内把首名宇航员送入太空用《使者》火箭。

伊朗电视在2006年申说了他们的新型战头机比美海军的《大黄蜂》F-18一样,但是俄罗斯2007年卖给伊朗的二百五十架Su-30MKM战头机比F-18很想象的。因此俄罗斯的战机比伊朗最新的《雷电》战机也可能相同的。但是F-18 的旧时难题是短程,不是《雷电》的难题。


伊朗的《雷电》与俄罗斯的Su-30MKM
都也是轰炸机



美军的《大黄蜂》
近来的型号EA-18G


根据以色列恐惧伊朗展开核武器,从此《雷电》战头机与伊朗的《流星3》远程导弹都可以对以色列进行打击。


德国日报《世界》在七月十九日出版了以色列教授的文件分析了中东近况,文件的著者《本·莫里斯》是《本·古里翁》大学有名的教授。他说的是因为伊朗的核武发展大计所以以色列应该打击伊朗在2008年的末期

伊朗革命卫队高官称“手指不离扳机”



2008年7月24日星期四

伊朗—战云密布



伊朗—战云密布—美国对伊朗政策大转变

布什已经示意:
以色列可随时对伊朗核设施登动袭击
世界的石油价:紧张局势推升油价



《看中国》日报 20080723


请看到有关的新闻

2008年7月10日星期四

IRAN - 伊朗革命卫队高官称“手指不离扳机”

Latest UPDATE further down !

In a situation of looming danger of war and only two days after Iran's latest long-range missile test:
A high official of the Revolutionary Guard's air force states,
"We are not going to pull the trigger".

文件:伊朗革命卫队高官称“手指不离扳机”
文件::BLUEPRINT伊朗的长远导弹
文件::BLUEPRINT伊朗反对美国

The missiles that are able to reach Israel and parts of Europe (source: Al-Jazeera TV, July 9, 2008):


The name "Shahab" given to that series of missiles would mean "meteorite" in Arabic. In the Persian language which is usually rather different from Arabic it might nevertheless have a similar meaning.

Headline of Al-Jazeera, Arabic online service, on July 11:
"Israel is making preparations to attack Iran".
Even though Israel is busy to deny any intention, there are signs hinting at Israel planning to install F 15 fighters in Iraq.
以色列可能想到战斗伊朗用伊拉克的飞机基地。

战斗伊朗的美军基地:
阿富汗
吉尔吉斯斯坦
迪戈加西亚岛

2008年6月13日星期五

AFGHANISTAN - 阿富汗未来局势进入 9/11 以来最严峻时期

Latest update from July 06, 2008, further down:


The Taliban launched a well-prepared attack on an Afghan prison in Kandahar that held Taliban prisoners as well as criminals. Suicide bombs and rockets were used. A Prison official said: "Most of prisoners escaped". NATO confirms prison attack but has no details up to now (source: CNN, June 13, 21:30 GMT).

Al-Jazeera (Arabic service) reporting from Kabul: "Thousands" of prisoners now on the run including 400 Taliban fighters (21:40 GMT).
[In its original message, Al-Jazeera really used the Arabic plural of "thousand" while a later report (June 15) reduced the number of missing inmates to 870.]
Arabic Update (15/6/2008)


Related news:
Some weeks ago, the provincial government of Northern Pakistan, under the guidance of the newly elected central government, negotiated a ceasefire with the Taliban who are showing a strong presence in the tribal areas of Northern Pakistan.
Only recently, Pakistani troops perished under "friendly fire" of U.S. troops in that region. The new liberal government of Pakistan, now replacing the military rule of former General Musharraf, launched an immediate protest (Al-Jazeera, English service).

Another news blog on Afghanistan by Ulysses

阿富汗未来局势进入"9/11"
以来最严峻时期(626日)

文件1
文件2





《新闻的后面》—两边的声音
Al-Jazeera (Arabic) 6月28日

从伊斯兰堡与华盛顿等两方来的写稿著
者的两个人谈论〈塔利班〉的新上升:

美国国防部长申明他恐惧的是〈塔利班〉
的攻打在阿富汗渐渐地上升了。

攻打上升的百分比是百分之四十在今
年第一的五月。

巴基斯坦的没有作法催办〈塔利班〉可
能导致猛烈爆炸,就华盛顿恐惧的是巴
基斯坦的失败。

但是巴基斯坦反驳美国的非难,申明的
是没有〈塔利班〉的活动。

也申明的是巴基斯坦想到管制他们的南
部地区。但是巴基斯坦和阿富汗等两国
的同境现在不是在两国的管制下。

翻译:W.W. / Ulysses




July 7, 2008:

In an interview with Al-Jazeera, the governor of Pakistan's North-West frontier province, Owais Ahmed Ghani, expressed his opinion that "all trouble we have came from Afghanistan".



As the subtitle of the above picture shows, another suicide bomb in Afghanistan targets EU troops. This comes only some days after the German governments' decision to allow German troops of its ISAF contigent to participate in direct military action against "insurgents". Up to now, all German troops' activity was restricted to civil aid and "logistic support" for U.S. combat troops in southern Afghanistan. That logistic support essentially includes the provision of airborne reconnaissance for U.S. military in the combat zone of Helmand province and elsewhere.

On the same day:
20 civilians killed in a bombing led by U.S. forces in Afghanistan.